La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes0 - 0Valencia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Leganes
Saturday, September 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Valencia
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Leganes 1-1 Valencia
Three of the last four La Liga matches between these two sides have finished 1-1, and we can see the same scoreline occurring here. Valencia are just not winning games at the moment, and despite their quality, we are finding it difficult to back them to secure all three points on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Valencia |
47.64% ( 1.33) | 29.4% ( -0.75) | 22.96% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 38.48% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.05% ( 1.67) | 66.95% ( -1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.77% ( 1.11) | 85.23% ( -1.11) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( 1.54) | 28.57% ( -1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.64% ( 1.89) | 64.36% ( -1.89) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.87% ( 0.41) | 46.13% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.18% ( 0.32) | 81.82% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Leganes 47.63%
Valencia 22.95%
Draw 29.39%
| Leganes | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 16.5% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 8% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.43% Total : 47.63% | 0-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.84) 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.95% |
How you voted: Leganes vs Valencia
Leganes
39.8%Draw
31.1%Valencia
29.1%103
Form Guide
