Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
36.73% ( -0) | 29.65% ( 0.05) | 33.62% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 42.98% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.94% ( -0.16) | 64.06% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.77% ( -0.11) | 83.23% ( 0.11) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% ( -0.08) | 33.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% ( -0.09) | 70% ( 0.09) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% ( -0.12) | 35.48% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% ( -0.12) | 72.24% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 33.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 24 |
2 | Real Madrid | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 21 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Osasuna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
7 | Mallorca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
11 | GironaGirona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 12 |
12 | Sevilla | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
14 | Espanyol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
15 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
16 | Getafe | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
17 | Leganes | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |