Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Leganes |
38.85% (![]() | 29.79% (![]() | 31.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.21% (![]() | 64.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.25% (![]() | 83.74% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.58% (![]() | 32.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.06% (![]() | 68.94% (![]() |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.47% (![]() | 37.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.69% (![]() | 74.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Leganes |
1-0 @ 13.7% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 1.74% Total : 31.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |