La Liga | Gameweek 32
May 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
We said: Mallorca 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic have one of the stronger away records in the division this season, but Mallorca have also been strong at home, losing just four of their 15 matches. It would not be a shock to see a home victory or a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Athletic will secure a vital three points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54% . A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.84% .
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.69% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (8.56%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.41%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood .
Result Mallorca Draw Athletic Bilbao 18.84% ( 0.64) 27.15% ( 0.58) 54% ( -1.22)
Both teams to score 38.96% ( -0.42)
36.27% ( -1.08) 63.73% ( 1.09)
17% ( -0.78) 82.99% ( 0.78)
51.27% ( 0.12) 48.73% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 16.24% ( 0.09) 83.76% ( -0.08)
75.99% ( -1) 24.01% ( 1.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.73% ( -1.46) 58.26% ( 1.46)
Mallorca 18.84%
Athletic Bilbao 54%
Draw 27.14%
Mallorca Draw Athletic Bilbao 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.84% 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.14% 0-1 @ 16.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.9% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 54%
How you voted: Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca
Draw
Athletic Bilbao
101
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 07:35:36
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