La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Iberostar Stadium

Mallorca
3 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla (22' pen.), Rodriguez (30'), Simon (88' og.)
Olivan (12'), Rodriguez (73'), Reina (75'), Raillo (80'), Kubo (88'), Muriqi (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Garcia (59'), Berenguer (61')
Zarraga (52'), Muniain (57'), Berchiche (79'), Berenguer (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mallorca 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic have been the draw specialists on their travels in La Liga this season, sharing the points in eight of their 12 matches, while Mallorca have lost just twice in front of their own supporters this term. As a result, despite Athletic's excellent form, we are backing the two sides to play out an entertaining draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.27%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (13.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
32.52%	31.15%	36.33%

Both teams to score 39.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.39%

68.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.67%

86.33%

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.19%

38.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46%

75.54%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9%

36.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12%

72.88%

Score Analysis

Mallorca 32.52%

Athletic Bilbao 36.33%

Draw 31.14%

Mallorca	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 13.26% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.56% Total : 32.52%	0-0 @ 14% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.14%	0-1 @ 14.27% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.33%