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Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 4, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Osasuna

Williams (33')
Vesga (21'), Sancet (94')
FT
(aet)
Ibanez (116')
Torro (43'), Barja (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna (Osasuna win 2-1 on aggregate)

Athletic's rich history in the Copa del Rey has to be taken into account here, but the Basque outfit could face frustration on Tuesday night. Osasuna can be a very tough nut to crack, and we are backing the visitors to secure a draw on the evening, which would send them into the final of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.71%).

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
51.14% (-2.548 -2.55) 27.1% (1.52 1.52) 21.75% (1.028 1.03)
Both teams to score 42.62% (-2.656 -2.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.01% (-4.159 -4.16)60.99% (4.157 4.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01% (-3.224 -3.22)80.99% (3.223 3.22)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-2.866 -2.87)24.09% (2.864 2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62% (-4.257 -4.26)58.38% (4.256 4.26)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15% (-1.33 -1.33)43.85% (1.328 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20% (-1.118 -1.12)80% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 51.14%
    Osasuna 21.75%
    Draw 27.1%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 15.03% (1.05 1.05)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.449 -0.45)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.524 -0.52)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.605 -0.61)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.367 -0.37)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 51.14%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 10.56% (1.536 1.54)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.991 0.99)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.289 0.29)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
58.9%
Draw
28.9%
Osasuna
12.2%
90
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ezzalzouli (47')
Budimir (52'), Gomez (54'), Brasanac (90+1')

Berenguer (40'), Vesga (43'), Martinez (64')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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