La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 8, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Darder (90')
Braithwaite (21'), Gragera (53'), Gil (59'), Calero (78'), Vidal (90+1')
Vidal (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Williams (22'), Williams (75')
de Marcos (21'), Garcia (30'), Sancet (44'), Simon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 4 at 8.10pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Espanyol 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of an entertaining contest, and we are expecting goals in Saturday's affair. Espanyol have the second-worst home record in the league this season, but Athletic have won just four times on their travels, so we are backing a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
23.02% ( 0.22)	27.62% ( 0.17)	49.35% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 42.67% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.34% (

-0.37)

61.66% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.52% (

-0.27)

81.48% (

0.28)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.05% (

42.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.76% (

79.24%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78% (

-0.34)

25.22% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04% (

-0.48)

59.96% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 23.02%

Athletic Bilbao 49.34%

Draw 27.62%

Espanyol	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.04% Total : 23.02%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 14.91% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 49.34%