La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Mallorca3 - 1Las Palmas
We said: Mallorca 1-0 Las Palmas
Las Palmas' injury problems have come at the worst possible stage, and Mallorca will be looking to take advantage of the fact that the away side will be without a number of key players; it would not be a shock to see the points shared here, but we just have a feeling that the home team will be able to shade a close match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
49.54% ( 0.14) | 25.91% ( -0.04) | 24.54% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
