La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 0Mallorca
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
The last three La Liga matches between these two sides have finished 1-0 to Atletico, and we can see the same scoreline here - Mallorca are capable of making it a tricky game, but Simeone's side should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
65.58% ( -0.06) | 21.62% | 12.79% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.95% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
