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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Las Palmas

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Las Palmas

Mbappe (18' pen., 36'), Diaz (33'), Rodrygo (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Silva (1')
Ramirez (45+3')
Benito (64')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid return to the top of the La Liga table in style courtesy of a 4-1 success over 10-man Las Palmas at Bernabeu, with Kylian Mbappe hitting a brace.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Las Palmas at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of the final of their La Liga clash with Las Palmas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 10.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas
75.37% (-0.438 -0.44) 14.61% (0.133 0.13) 10.03% (0.3041 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.76799999999999 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.25% (0.337 0.34)29.75% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.11% (0.407 0.41)50.89% (-0.407 -0.41)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)6.6% (0.0070999999999994 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.46% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)24.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (0.82700000000001 0.83)40.2% (-0.827 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.17% (0.744 0.74)76.84% (-0.745 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 75.37%
    Las Palmas 10.03%
    Draw 14.61%
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 8.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 6.04% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 5.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.089 0.09)
5-0 @ 3.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.06 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 75.37%
1-1 @ 6.57% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 14.61%
1-2 @ 2.99% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 10.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Las Palmas

Real Madrid
87.7%
Draw
9.6%
Las Palmas
2.7%
73
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Las Palmas
1-1
Real Madrid
Moleiro (5')
Carrion (74')
Junior (69' pen.)
Mendy (40'), Militao (88'), Militao (90+5')
Jan 27, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 22
Las Palmas
1-2
Real Madrid
Munoz (53')
Rodriguez (55'), Munoz (82'), Perrone (90+6')
Junior (65'), Tchouameni (84')
Rodrygo (5'), Tchouameni (90+9'), Mendy (90+7')
Sep 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Diaz (45+3'), Joselu (54')

Coco (79')
Mar 31, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-3
Real Madrid

Momo (36'), Galvez (45'), Navarro (51')
Bale (26', 51'), Benzema (39' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona22143560243645
4Athletic Bilbao22118333201341
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7GironaGirona229493130131
8Osasuna227962731-430
9Mallorca2293101928-930
10Real BetisBetis227872528-329
11Real Sociedad2284101819-128
12Sevilla227782430-628
13Celta Vigo2274113135-425
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2265112736-923
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2256112534-921
19Valencia2247112237-1519
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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