Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
51.11% (![]() | 25.05% (![]() | 23.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.11% (![]() | 51.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.36% (![]() | 73.64% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% (![]() | 20.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% (![]() | 52.68% (![]() |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% (![]() | 36.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% (![]() | 73.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 11.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.9% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.47% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |