La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Iberostar Stadium
We said: Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
With a tough trip to Osasuna looming on the final day, Mallorca should see Sunday's game as an absolute must-win, and we fancy them to outfight a Rayo Vallecano team who have less to play for in comparison and will be wounded from a thrashing last time out.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.59% . A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.84%) . The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mallorca in this match.
Result Mallorca Draw Rayo Vallecano 34.81% ( 0.95) 27.6% ( 0.12) 37.59% ( -1.07)
Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.25)
43.22% ( -0.37) 56.78% ( 0.37)
22.28% ( -0.29) 77.72% ( 0.3)
69.11% ( 0.43) 30.89% ( -0.43)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.83% ( 0.51) 67.17% ( -0.5)
70.84% ( -0.8) 29.16% ( 0.81)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.9% ( -1) 65.09% ( 1.01)
Mallorca 34.81%
Rayo Vallecano 37.59%
Draw 27.6%
Mallorca Draw Rayo Vallecano 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.81% 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6% 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.59%
How you voted: Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
34
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 11:28:38
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