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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Villarreal logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 5
Villarreal

Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

Last Six:
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Villarreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Villarreal

 Villarreal need the points more than Rayo, but the home side's recent form must be respected, therefore this is a difficult match to call. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away victory on Thursday, but we believe that the two teams could ultimately cancel each other out in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
33.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 27.39% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 38.76% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (-0.113 -0.11)56.08% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)77.16% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)31.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.49% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.107 -0.11)28.14% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.139 -0.14)63.82% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 33.85%
    Villarreal 38.75%
    Draw 27.38%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.75%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano
21.2%
Draw
23.5%
Villarreal
55.3%
132
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 1pm
Villarreal
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mandi (32'), Moreno (36' pen.)
Torres (23')

Catena (37'), Isi (38'), Garcia (61')
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Villarreal

Milic (28')
Nino (84'), Cazorla (85')
Funes Mori (25'), Cazorla (80')
Mar 17, 2019 5.30pm
Villarreal
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Toko Ekambi (50', 52'), Moreno (88')
Funes Mori (44'), Ruiz (79')
Suarez (20')
Velazquez (51')
Nov 11, 2018 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Villarreal
De Tomas (45'), Garcia (66')
Amat (44')
Chukwueze (33'), Sansone (80')
Gonzalez (61'), Trigueros (87')
Gonzalez (90')
Apr 17, 2016 5.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Villarreal
Guerra (7'), Miku (81')
Guerra (56'), Amaya (67')
Adrian (20')
Ruiz (57'), Marin (59'), Gaspar (71'), Leiva (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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