La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio Teresa Rivero

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 5
Villarreal

Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

Last Six:

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42
13	Elche	38	-12	42

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Villarreal

Villarreal need the points more than Rayo, but the home side's recent form must be respected, therefore this is a difficult match to call. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away victory on Thursday, but we believe that the two teams could ultimately cancel each other out in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Villarreal
33.85% ( 0.06)	27.39% ( 0.03)	38.76% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.47% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.92% (

-0.11)

56.08% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.85% (

-0.09)

77.16% (

0.09)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

-0.02)

31.16% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.51% (

-0.02)

67.49% (

0.02)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

-0.11)

28.14% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18% (

-0.14)

63.82% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 33.85%

Villarreal 38.75%

Draw 27.38%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.85%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.75%