Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 71.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.24%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Villarreal |
10.15% | 18.38% | 71.47% |
Both teams to score 42.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% | 47.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% | 69.79% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.91% | 52.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.93% | 86.06% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.01% | 11.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.58% | 37.42% |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 4.07% 2-1 @ 2.82% 2-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.15% | 1-1 @ 8.64% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 2.99% Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.38% | 0-2 @ 14.05% 0-1 @ 13.24% 0-3 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 9.16% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-4 @ 5.27% 1-4 @ 3.44% 0-5 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-5 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.96% Total : 71.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 30 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
7 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |