Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
46.11% | 26.42% | 27.48% |
Both teams to score 49.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.43% | 54.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.08% | 75.91% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% | 23.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% | 57.71% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% | 35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% | 71.74% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |