Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Shakhtar1 - 1Real Madrid
Reaction
Carlo Ancelotti: 'We played poorly against Shakhtar Donetsk'
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti admits that his side were far from their best in Wednesday's Champions League clash with Shakhtar Donetsk.
Oct 12, 14:10
Real Madrid rescue late point against Shakhtar Donetsk to progress to knockout stages
Real Madrid rescued a point with almost the last kick of the game in a 1-1 draw against Shakhtar Donetsk, which sees them through to the Champions League knockout stage.
Oct 11, 22:09
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League game with Shakhtar Donetsk.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Shakhtar Donetsk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Getafe 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 Real Madrid
Shakhtar were impressive in the clash at Bernabeu last week and will fancy their chances of causing problems on Tuesday night. Ancelotti is set to make some changes for this contest, but we are still expecting the European champions to be too strong for their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.32%) and 0-3 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.69%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Real Madrid |
11.43% ( 0.04) | 23.02% ( -0.05) | 65.55% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 34.18% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
