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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
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Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Mbappe (30'), Junior (34')
Junior (79'), Tchouameni (85'), Modric (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Diaz (45+2')
Gumbau (63')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday afternoon's La Liga contest with Rayo Vallecano at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Rayo Vallecano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 3-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
73.48% (2.594 2.59) 15.71% (-1.411 -1.41) 10.81% (-1.183 -1.18)
Both teams to score 54.32% (1.296 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.98% (3.638 3.64)33.01% (-3.639 -3.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.26% (4.071 4.07)54.74% (-4.071 -4.07)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.28% (1.463 1.46)7.71% (-1.463 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.52% (3.62 3.62)27.48% (-3.619 -3.62)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (0.478 0.48)41.13% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (0.424 0.42)77.67% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 73.48%
    Rayo Vallecano 10.81%
    Draw 15.71%
Real MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.299 -0.3)
3-0 @ 8.89% (0.222 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.992 -0.99)
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.298 0.3)
4-0 @ 5.7% (0.519 0.52)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.521 0.52)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.177 0.18)
5-0 @ 2.92% (0.446 0.45)
5-1 @ 2.59% (0.425 0.43)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.258 0.26)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.263 0.26)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.11% (0.244 0.24)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 73.48%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.776 -0.78)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.17% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.71%
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.81%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid
88.3%
Draw
6.4%
Rayo Vallecano
5.3%
94
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Modric (62'), Junior (74')
> Match Report
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> Preview
Nov 5, 2023 8pm
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Camavinga (62'), Junior (74'), Rudiger (90+6')
Ratiu (44'), Ciss (57'), Trejo (88'), Lejeune (90+6'), Dimitrievski (90+1')
> Preview
May 24, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
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Rayo Vallecano
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Carvajal (60')
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Garcia (33'), Lopez (51'), Comesana (53')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Rayo Vallecano
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Real Madrid
Comesana (5'), Garcia (44'), Trejo (67' pen.)
Modric (37' pen.), Militao (41')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416
> La Liga Full Table


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