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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Villarreal logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Villarreal


Ratiu (78')
de Frutos (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Perez (66')
Barry (44'), Pino (55'), Parejo (90+5'), Conde (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, February 15 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villarreal

Both teams are in need of the points due to their European ambitions, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here; Villarreal will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result, but Rayo have been excellent this season, and we are expecting the hosts to be good enough to secure at least a point on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
34.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.46% (0.073 0.07) 39.27% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)52.3% (0.287 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-0.247 -0.25)73.99% (0.247 0.25)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71% (-0.116 -0.12)29% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (-0.144 -0.14)64.9% (0.145 0.14)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.191 -0.19)26.08% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.259 -0.26)61.13% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 34.28%
    Villarreal 39.26%
    Draw 26.45%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.26%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano
33.3%
Draw
39.6%
Villarreal
27.1%
48
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Villarreal
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Perez (45+1')
Pino (27'), Gueye (54'), Ojeda (85'), Costa (90+5')
Kambwala (32')
Garcia (20')
Mumin (45+5'), Lejeune (46'), Trejo (53')
Apr 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Sorloth (18', 74'), Mosquera (69')
Coquelin (77'), Albiol (90')

Ciss (78')
Sep 24, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 6
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Villarreal
Perez (16')
Garcia (18'), Camello (63')
Sorloth (15')
Moreno (62'), Comesana (73')
Moreno (77')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Villarreal
De Tomas (56'), Isi (63')
Valentin (65'), de Tomas (68'), Catena (90+4')
Lo Celso (83')
Parejo (40'), Pedraza (59'), Lo Celso (70'), Jackson (90+4')
Jan 30, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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