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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Valladolid
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Moro (79')
Anuar (19'), Pezzolano (45+4'), Torres (72'), Martin Rielves (78'), Comert (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guruzeta (90+4')
Jauregizar (26'), Prados (43'), Vesga (66'), Marton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Valladolid
Saturday, November 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Real Valladolid 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Real Valladolid will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this contest, and they are capable of making it difficult for Athletic. The Lions can call upon the greater quality all across the field, though, and we are backing the visitors to win this one relatively comfortably ahead of the November international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
28.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 27.81% (0.043000000000003 0.04) 43.34% (-0.13099999999999 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99% (-0.114 -0.11)59.01% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)79.47% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.122 -0.12)27% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.161 -0.16)62.36% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 28.85%
    Athletic Bilbao 43.34%
    Draw 27.81%
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.8% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Valladolid
10.1%
Draw
5.1%
Athletic Bilbao
84.8%
79
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Valladolid
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Larin (74')
Martinez (30'), Guruzeta (57'), Vesga (78' pen.)
Nov 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Valladolid
Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 33
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valladolid
Morcillo (14'), Garcia (76')
Sancet (61')
Orellana (70'), Weissman (85')
El Yamiq (90+1')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 27
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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