Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
28.85% ( 0.09) | 27.81% ( 0.04) | 43.34% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.99% ( -0.11) | 59.01% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.52% ( -0.09) | 79.47% ( 0.09) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.7% ( 0.01) | 36.3% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% ( 0.01) | 73.08% ( -0.01) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( -0.12) | 27% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( -0.16) | 62.36% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |