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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Valladolid
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Moro (79')
Anuar (19'), Pezzolano (45+4'), Torres (72'), Martin Rielves (78'), Comert (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guruzeta (90+4')
Jauregizar (26'), Prados (43'), Vesga (66'), Marton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Valladolid
Saturday, November 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Real Valladolid 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Real Valladolid will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this contest, and they are capable of making it difficult for Athletic. The Lions can call upon the greater quality all across the field, though, and we are backing the visitors to win this one relatively comfortably ahead of the November international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
28.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 27.81% (0.043000000000003 0.04) 43.34% (-0.13099999999999 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99% (-0.114 -0.11)59.01% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)79.47% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.122 -0.12)27% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.161 -0.16)62.36% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 28.85%
    Athletic Bilbao 43.34%
    Draw 27.81%
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.8% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Valladolid
10.1%
Draw
5.1%
Athletic Bilbao
84.8%
79
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Valladolid
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Larin (74')
Martinez (30'), Guruzeta (57'), Vesga (78' pen.)
Nov 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Valladolid
Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 33
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valladolid
Morcillo (14'), Garcia (76')
Sancet (61')
Orellana (70'), Weissman (85')
El Yamiq (90+1')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 27
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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