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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Valladolid
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Moro (79')
Anuar (19'), Pezzolano (45+4'), Torres (72'), Martin Rielves (78'), Comert (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guruzeta (90+4')
Jauregizar (26'), Prados (43'), Vesga (66'), Marton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Valladolid
Saturday, November 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Real Valladolid 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Real Valladolid will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this contest, and they are capable of making it difficult for Athletic. The Lions can call upon the greater quality all across the field, though, and we are backing the visitors to win this one relatively comfortably ahead of the November international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
28.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 27.81% (0.043000000000003 0.04) 43.34% (-0.13099999999999 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99% (-0.114 -0.11)59.01% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)79.47% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.122 -0.12)27% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.161 -0.16)62.36% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 28.85%
    Athletic Bilbao 43.34%
    Draw 27.81%
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.8% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Valladolid
10.1%
Draw
5.1%
Athletic Bilbao
84.8%
79
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Valladolid
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Larin (74')
Martinez (30'), Guruzeta (57'), Vesga (78' pen.)
Nov 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Valladolid
Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 33
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valladolid
Morcillo (14'), Garcia (76')
Sancet (61')
Orellana (70'), Weissman (85')
El Yamiq (90+1')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 27
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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