Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
47.66% (![]() | 29.14% (![]() | 23.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.91% (![]() | 66.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.35% (![]() | 84.64% (![]() |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.87% (![]() | 28.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% (![]() | 63.81% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.62% (![]() | 45.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.77% (![]() | 81.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 16.18% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.26% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 1.51% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 12.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 12.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |