Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Real Valladolid |
50.1% ( 0.94) | 25.38% ( 0.46) | 24.52% ( -1.4) |
Both teams to score 50.22% ( -2.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.4% ( -2.93) | 52.6% ( 2.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.75% ( -2.57) | 74.25% ( 2.57) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.99% ( -0.78) | 21.01% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.21% ( -1.23) | 53.79% ( 1.24) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.57% ( -2.79) | 36.43% ( 2.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( -2.92) | 73.21% ( 2.93) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 1.07) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.47% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.41) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |