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Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Valladolid logo

Alaves
2 - 3
Valladolid

Martinez (6'), Kike (90+7')
Diarra (68'), Sanchez (78'), Tenaglia (80'), Kike (90+9'), Abqar (90+11')
Kike (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sylla (17' pen.), Amallah (72' pen.), Anuar (76')
Moro (57'), Pezzolano (81'), Latasa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, October 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 2-1 Real Valladolid

Alaves have already scored 11 times in the league this season, and Real Valladolid have conceded plenty. There should be goals on Friday, and we are expecting an entertaining affair, with Alaves likely to have enough to return to winning ways against a Real Valladolid outfit that have struggled on their travels this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Valladolid
50.1% (0.944 0.94) 25.38% (0.457 0.46) 24.52% (-1.398 -1.4)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-2.72 -2.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (-2.928 -2.93)52.6% (2.931 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-2.566 -2.57)74.25% (2.57 2.57)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.78 -0.78)21.01% (0.785 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-1.234 -1.23)53.79% (1.239 1.24)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-2.785 -2.79)36.43% (2.79 2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-2.923 -2.92)73.21% (2.926 2.93)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 50.1%
    Real Valladolid 24.52%
    Draw 25.37%
AlavesDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.94% (1.07 1.07)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.625 0.63)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.849 0.85)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.407 -0.41)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.316 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.365 -0.37)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Alaves vs Valladolid

Alaves
77.2%
Draw
16.1%
Real Valladolid
6.7%
180
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Alaves
1-0
Valladolid
Sylla (11')
Feb 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Alaves
1-0
Valladolid
Joselu (66')
Pina (10'), Navarro (40'), Garcia (63'), Mendez (90+2')

Bruno (43'), Fernandez (48'), Fede (82'), Alcaraz (88')
Oct 25, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 7
Valladolid
0-2
Alaves

Toni (43')
Nacho (21')
Pina (55'), Sainz (85')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 13
Alaves
3-0
Valladolid
Joselu (26'), Pina (32'), Perez (75' pen.)
Laguardia (6'), Garcia (33'), Rioja (59')

Barba (31'), Alcaraz (74'), Porro (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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