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Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Valladolid logo

Alaves
2 - 3
Valladolid

Martinez (6'), Kike (90+7')
Diarra (68'), Sanchez (78'), Tenaglia (80'), Kike (90+9'), Abqar (90+11')
Kike (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sylla (17' pen.), Amallah (72' pen.), Anuar (76')
Moro (57'), Pezzolano (81'), Latasa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, October 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 2-1 Real Valladolid

Alaves have already scored 11 times in the league this season, and Real Valladolid have conceded plenty. There should be goals on Friday, and we are expecting an entertaining affair, with Alaves likely to have enough to return to winning ways against a Real Valladolid outfit that have struggled on their travels this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Valladolid
50.1% (0.944 0.94) 25.38% (0.457 0.46) 24.52% (-1.398 -1.4)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-2.72 -2.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (-2.928 -2.93)52.6% (2.931 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-2.566 -2.57)74.25% (2.57 2.57)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.78 -0.78)21.01% (0.785 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-1.234 -1.23)53.79% (1.239 1.24)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-2.785 -2.79)36.43% (2.79 2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-2.923 -2.92)73.21% (2.926 2.93)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 50.1%
    Real Valladolid 24.52%
    Draw 25.37%
AlavesDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.94% (1.07 1.07)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.625 0.63)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.849 0.85)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.407 -0.41)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.316 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.365 -0.37)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Alaves vs Valladolid

Alaves
77.2%
Draw
16.1%
Real Valladolid
6.7%
180
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Alaves
1-0
Valladolid
Sylla (11')
Feb 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Alaves
1-0
Valladolid
Joselu (66')
Pina (10'), Navarro (40'), Garcia (63'), Mendez (90+2')

Bruno (43'), Fernandez (48'), Fede (82'), Alcaraz (88')
Oct 25, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 7
Valladolid
0-2
Alaves

Toni (43')
Nacho (21')
Pina (55'), Sainz (85')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 13
Alaves
3-0
Valladolid
Joselu (26'), Pina (32'), Perez (75' pen.)
Laguardia (6'), Garcia (33'), Rioja (59')

Barba (31'), Alcaraz (74'), Porro (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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