Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Valladolid |
60.74% ( 0.68) | 22.97% ( -0.18) | 16.29% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 45.2% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.04% ( -0.07) | 52.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.44% ( -0.06) | 74.56% ( 0.06) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( 0.22) | 17.06% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.77% ( 0.38) | 47.23% ( -0.37) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.49% ( -0.68) | 45.51% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.66% ( -0.55) | 81.34% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 60.73% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |