Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
46.84% (![]() | 25.72% (![]() | 27.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.11% (![]() | 51.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.36% (![]() | 73.64% (![]() |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% (![]() | 22.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.48% (![]() | 55.52% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% (![]() | 33.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% (![]() | 70.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 11.21% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 50 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 15 | 23 | 49 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
8 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
9 | Osasuna | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 28 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
16 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
17 | Leganes | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Valencia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 22 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 21 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |