La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona2 - 1Athletic Bilbao
We said: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
This is a tough match for both sides off the back of European contests; Athletic are certainly in the better form, but Girona are a strong outfit on home soil, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon, which both managers would likely accept if it were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
48.58% ( 3.25) | 24.01% ( 0.27) | 27.4% ( -3.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( -3.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
