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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Athletic Bilbao logo

Girona
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Asprilla (39'), Stuani (90+9' pen.)
Krejci (31'), Gazzaniga (56'), Lopez (57'), Herrera (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sancet (41')
Vivian (45+3'), Paredes (90+7')
Paredes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-3 Feyenoord
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 AZ
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 This is a tough match for both sides off the back of European contests; Athletic are certainly in the better form, but Girona are a strong outfit on home soil, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon, which both managers would likely accept if it were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.

Result
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
48.58% (3.253 3.25) 24.01% (0.265 0.27) 27.4% (-3.516 -3.52)
Both teams to score 57.18% (-3.325 -3.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (-3.322 -3.32)44.66% (3.326 3.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97% (-3.289 -3.29)67.03% (3.292 3.29)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (-4.079 -4.08)29.84% (4.082 4.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (-5.227 -5.23)65.92% (5.23 5.23)
Score Analysis
    Girona 48.58%
    Athletic Bilbao 27.41%
    Draw 24.01%
GironaDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.303 0.3)
1-0 @ 9.31% (1.274 1.27)
2-0 @ 7.86% (1.075 1.08)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.605 0.61)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.278 -0.28)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.255 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.494 -0.49)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.754 0.75)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.586 -0.59)
0-1 @ 6.67% (0.212 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.599 -0.6)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.355 -0.36)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.41%

How you voted: Girona vs Athletic Bilbao

Girona
20.1%
Draw
32.5%
Athletic Bilbao
47.4%
154
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Girona
Berenguer (2', 56'), Williams (60')
Lekue (25')
Tsygankov (49'), Garcia (75')
Carlos (20'), Garcia (25')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Girona
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Tsygankov (55')
Blind (59')
Williams (67')
Guruzeta (51')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
2-3
Girona
Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
Garcia (4'), De Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
> Preview
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Girona
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (67'), Martin (75')
Guruzeta (78')
> Preview
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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