La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves2 - 1Sevilla
We said: Alaves 1-1 Sevilla
There have been 12 goals in the last two La Liga matches between these two sides, but we are expecting this to be a quieter affair. We are finding it tough to pick a winner on Friday night and have therefore had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which both managers would likely take ahead of kickoff. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
40.42% ( -0.22) | 29.24% ( 0.04) | 30.34% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.33% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
