La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Almeria3 - 1Espanyol
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Almeria
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-1 Espanyol
Espanyol will enter this match full of confidence, but they have only won twice on their travels in the league this season, while Almeria have lost only three of their nine La Liga games at home. Both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we have settled on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Espanyol |
37.76% ( 0.01) | 27.87% ( -0) | 34.37% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.09% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
