La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
3 - 0
Elche

En-Nesyri (29', 45+3'), Acuna (43')
Ocampos (79')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Fidel (43'), Gumbau (79'), Mascarell (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 25 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Elche 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, January 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche have drawn their last two in La Liga, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to get something from this match. Sevilla have won their last two league games on home soil, and Sampaoli's outfit should have enough quality to make it three in a row on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Elche
67.66% ( -0.05)	19.79% ( 0.07)	12.55% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.51% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53% (

-0.35)

47.47% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

-0.32)

69.69% (

0.33)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.96% (

-0.12)

13.04% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.39% (

-0.25)

39.61% (

0.25)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.34% (

-0.25)

47.66% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.02% (

-0.18)

82.98% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 67.65%

Elche 12.55%

Draw 19.79%

Sevilla	Draw	Elche
2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 67.65%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.79%	0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 12.55%