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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Almeria

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Almeria

Ely (54' og.), Garcia (63')
Balliu (17'), Trejo (25'), Catena (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baptistao (13'), Akieme (31'), Robertone (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, January 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 3-1 Espanyol
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Almeria

 Almeria are having an impressive season, but their away form has been so disappointing. Indeed, the promoted outfit are yet to win a single match on their travels, so it is difficult to back them to beat a strong Rayo outfit. It would not be a shock to see a draw here, but we are just backing Rayo to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlmeria
53.88% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23) 24.54% (0.044 0.04) 21.57% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.32% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.033000000000001 0.03)52.07% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.027999999999999 0.03)73.79% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)19.26% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.129 -0.13)50.98% (0.125 0.13)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (0.21 0.21)38.91% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (0.196 0.2)75.63% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 53.88%
    Almeria 21.57%
    Draw 24.54%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 53.88%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria

Rayo Vallecano
69.5%
Draw
18.1%
Almeria
12.4%
105
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 1pm
Almeria
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Robertone (8'), Babic (17'), Bilal Toure (39')
Catena (81')
Salvi (45+1')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Robertone (31'), Morlanes (33'), Fernandes (54'), Corpas (56'), Balliu (59')
Fernandes (70')
Bebe (89')
Catena (26'), Antonin (44'), Valentin (49'), Garcia (86')
Nov 8, 2020 3pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Almeria

Martin (55'), Velazquez (74'), Comesana (82')
Advincula (27')
Cuenca (90+5')
Akieme (50'), Villalba (60'), Sadiq (61')
Sadiq (79')
Jul 13, 2020 6.30pm
Almeria
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Carlos Lazo (9'), Nunez (20'), Munoz (30')
Romera (69'), Guerrero (78')
Villar (51', 57')
Advincula (8'), Suarez (24'), Villar (81')
Sep 21, 2019 7pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Almeria
Comesana (48')
Angel Pozo (67')
Munoz (74')
Maras (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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