Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Mallorca |
47.56% ( 0.42) | 26.58% ( 0.16) | 25.86% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 47.97% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.86% ( -0.94) | 56.14% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.8% ( -0.77) | 77.2% ( 0.77) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.21) | 23.62% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( -0.3) | 57.71% ( 0.3) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.81% ( -1) | 37.19% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% ( -1) | 73.98% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |