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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Atletico

Sucic (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alvarez (1')
Lenglet (55'), Galan (80'), Simeone (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Atletico
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico will have been wounded by their four-goal loss to Benfica, and Simeone will be demanding a response from his players this weekend. Real Sociedad have not been able to settle into the new campaign, and we are backing Atletico to edge a close match on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
35.85% (0.418 0.42) 27.1% (0.029 0.03) 37.05% (-0.445 -0.45)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.2% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)54.8% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)76.1% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (0.214 0.21)29.25% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8% (0.26 0.26)65.2% (-0.258 -0.26)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.31 -0.31)28.52% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.39 -0.39)64.3% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 35.84%
    Atletico Madrid 37.04%
    Draw 27.1%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.84%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37.04%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
13.1%
Draw
16.9%
Atletico Madrid
69.9%
183
Head to Head
May 25, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Pacheco (45+2'), Mendez (57'), Ander Olasagasti (90')
Lino (9'), Mandava (90+3')
Vermeeren (41'), Koke (45'), Niguez (80'), Mandava (87')
Niguez (90+1')
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Lino (22'), Griezmann (89' pen.)
Koke (48'), Galan (90+6'), Griezmann (90+6')
Oyarzabal (73')
Le Normand (15'), Traore (86'), Fernandez (87')
Aug 3, 2023 2am
Club Friendlies
Atletico
0-0
Real Sociedad
Hermoso (33')
Zubeldia (14'), Le Normand (33'), Pacheco (54+54'), Pacheco (54')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')
Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Real Sociedad124351010015
11GironaGirona124351517-215
12Sevilla124351217-515
13Celta Vigo114161720-313
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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