Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
35.85% ( 0.42) | 27.1% ( 0.03) | 37.05% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.2% ( -0.1) | 54.8% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.9% ( -0.08) | 76.1% ( 0.08) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% ( 0.21) | 29.25% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.8% ( 0.26) | 65.2% ( -0.26) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( -0.31) | 28.52% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( -0.39) | 64.3% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.84% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
11 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |