Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
35.28% (![]() | 25.81% (![]() | 38.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.54% (![]() | 49.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.5% (![]() | 71.49% (![]() |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% (![]() | 27.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% (![]() | 62.36% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% (![]() | 24.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% (![]() | 59.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.83% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 12.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 9.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |