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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Lino (72')
Gonzalez (27'), Lino (27'), Correia (39'), Cavani (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jackson (62')
Jackson (41'), Parejo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, April 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Fighting for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Valencia will be desperate to pick up a positive result on Wednesday, but in-form Villarreal will not make life easy for the hosts. Having won seven of their last 10 league outings – including three of their previous four away games – Villarreal look set to pile more pressure on the relegation strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
35.28% (-0.132 -0.13) 25.81% (0.792 0.79) 38.89% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-2.785 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (-3.581 -3.58)49.45% (3.572 3.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (-3.308 -3.31)71.49% (3.298 3.3)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-1.768 -1.77)27.01% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (-2.369 -2.37)62.36% (2.36 2.36)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-1.958 -1.96)24.97% (1.949 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-2.79 -2.79)59.62% (2.781 2.78)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.28%
    Villarreal 38.89%
    Draw 25.8%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.828 0.83)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.298 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.49 0.49)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.931 0.93)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.212 -0.21)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.222 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.89%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
24.6%
Draw
17.5%
Villarreal
57.9%
114
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Musah (35')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
gameweek 26
Valencia
2-1
Villarreal
Soler (86' pen.), Guedes (90+2')
Racic (14'), Soler (23'), Gaya (39'), Gomez (67')
Moreno (40' pen.)
Foyth (36'), Capoue (42'), Albiol (85')
Oct 18, 2020 3pm
gameweek 6
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Alcacer (6' pen.), Parejo (69')
Iborra (12'), Pedraza (52'), Kubo (72')
Kubo (90+2')
Guedes (37')
Paulista (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca2293101928-930
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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