La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia2 - 1Valladolid
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elche 0-2 Valencia
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Girona
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Valencia 0-0 Real Valladolid
Given that Real Valladolid have the third-worst offensive record in La Liga – and Valencia have the best defensive record in the bottom half – we expect the relegation rivals to play out a cagey stalemate at the Mestalla. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Real Valladolid |
59.73% ( -0.15) | 22.29% ( 0) | 17.98% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
