Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
18.23% ( 0.09) | 23.66% ( 0.22) | 58.11% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.27% ( -0.71) | 52.73% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.63% ( -0.61) | 74.36% ( 0.6) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.06% ( -0.3) | 42.94% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.76% ( -0.26) | 79.24% ( 0.25) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% ( -0.38) | 17.92% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.27% ( -0.65) | 48.72% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.23% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 11.37% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |