La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 24, 2023 at 9pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
3 - 3
Atletico

Montes (64'), Joselu (76' pen.), Souza (79')
Vidal (66'), Souza (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Niguez (21'), Griezmann (44'), Carrasco (46')
Grbic (75'), Martin (89'), Gimenez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 21 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Osasuna
Sunday, May 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Espanyol 1-3 Atletico Madrid

Both sides have found the back of the net in the last five meetings between Espanyol and Atletico Madrid, and such a sequence should certainly continue on Wednesday given their respective penchants for goalscoring. The hosts certainly have more to play for than their podium-chasing visitors at this stage, but their lingering defensive concerns should prove fatal against a rampant Atletico crop, who should right the wrongs of their loss to Elche with a resounding win to plunge Espanyol back into demotion danger. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Atletico Madrid
18.23% ( 0.09)	23.66% ( 0.22)	58.11% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.27% (

-0.71)

52.73% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.63% (

-0.61)

74.36% (

0.6)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.06% (

-0.3)

42.94% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.76% (

-0.26)

79.24% (

0.25)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08% (

-0.38)

17.92% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.27% (

-0.65)

48.72% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 18.23%

Atletico Madrid 58.1%

Draw 23.66%

Espanyol	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.23%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 11.37% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.1%