La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 18, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes1 - 0Atletico
We said: Leganes 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Atletico are simply a winning machine at the moment, and we are finding it so difficult to back against them here; this will be the first La Liga meeting between the two teams at the home of Leganes since August 2019 - it was 1-0 to the Red and Whites on that occasion, and we are backing another success for the visitors on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.31%) and 0-3 (11.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
7.05% ( -0.09) | 16.81% ( -0.16) | 76.13% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 34.21% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
