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La Liga
Leganes logo
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 18, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Atletico Madrid logo

Leganes
1 - 0
Atletico

Nastasic (49')
Neyou (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrios (43'), Galan (57'), Lenglet (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Leganes
Wednesday, January 15 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-4 Atletico
Wednesday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Leganes 0-2 Atletico Madrid

 Atletico are simply a winning machine at the moment, and we are finding it so difficult to back against them here; this will be the first La Liga meeting between the two teams at the home of Leganes since August 2019 - it was 1-0 to the Red and Whites on that occasion, and we are backing another success for the visitors on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 7.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.31%) and 0-3 (11.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
LeganesDrawAtletico Madrid
7.05% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09) 16.81% (-0.162 -0.16) 76.13% (0.254 0.25)
Both teams to score 34.21% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (0.332 0.33)50.73% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.294 0.29)72.62% (-0.291 -0.29)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.69% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)61.31% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)91.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.164 0.16)11.59% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.44% (0.35 0.35)36.56% (-0.347 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Leganes 7.05%
    Atletico Madrid 76.12%
    Draw 16.82%
LeganesDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 3.48% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 7.05%
1-1 @ 7.49% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-2 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.82%
0-2 @ 16.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 15.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 11.85% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.39% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.8% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.13% (0.035 0.04)
0-5 @ 2.75% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.35% (0.023 0.02)
0-6 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 76.12%

How you voted: Leganes vs Atletico

Leganes
6.0%
Draw
10.4%
Atletico Madrid
83.6%
67
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico
3-1
Leganes
Sorloth (69', 90+9'), Griezmann (81')
Lenglet (30'), Galan (73'), Griezmann (89'), De Paul (90+8'), Simeone (90+2')
Neyou (34')
Cisse (80')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2020 11am
Gameweek 21
Atletico
0-0
Leganes
Simeone (57'), Savic (96')
Awaziem (11'), Eraso (54'), Cuellar (76'), Mesa (89'), Recio (92')
Cuellar (93')
Aug 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 2
Leganes
0-1
Atletico

Eraso (23'), Rosales (34'), Silva (73'), En-Nesyri (90')
Vitolo (71')
Hermoso (52'), Partey (62'), Llorente (80'), Vitolo (86'), Koke (91')
Mar 9, 2019 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
1-0
Leganes
Niguez (50')
Gimenez (14'), Lemar (53')

Braithwaite (15'), Perez (65')
Nov 3, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 11
Leganes
1-1
Atletico
Carrillo (82')
En-Nesyri (13'), Silva (53'), Cuellar (85'), Santos (90')
Griezmann (69')
Hernandez (29'), Kalinic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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