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Real Madrid logo
Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Valencia

Benzema (39' pen.)
Camavinga (28'), Nacho (109')
FT
(aet)
Lino (46')
Kluivert (31'), Comert (38'), Cavani (92'), Almeida (99')
Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid advance to the final of the Spanish Super Cup courtesy of a penalty-shootout success over Valencia on Wednesday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Wednesday's Spanish Super Cup semi-final with Valencia.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Spanish Super Cup semi-final with Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 7 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Cadiz
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.77%).

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
63.93% (0.256 0.26) 20.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 15.59% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.31% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)43.94% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)66.33% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)13.05% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.38% (0.024999999999999 0.02)39.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.398 -0.4)40.99% (0.395 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (-0.357 -0.36)77.54% (0.355 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 63.93%
    Valencia 15.6%
    Draw 20.47%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.83% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 63.93%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.6%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
86.2%
Draw
8.4%
Valencia
5.4%
167
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
4-1
Valencia
Benzema (43' pen., 88'), Junior (52', 61')
Casemiro (14'), Militao (26'), Mendy (75')
Guedes (76')
Piccini (51'), Musah (58'), Cheryshev (84')
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (66')
Paulista (39')
Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Benzema (12'), Kroos (42')

Guedes (27'), Racic (44'), Correia (46')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Valencia
4-1
Real Madrid
Soler (35' pen., 54' pen., 63' pen.), Varane (43' og.)
Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')
Benzema (23')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
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Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
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Tuesday, July 2
 
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Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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