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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Valencia

Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
Nacho (33'), Benzema (45+5'), Asensio (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diakhaby (60')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's La Liga clash with Valencia.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, January 29 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Valencia

 Valencia frustrated Real Madrid in the Spanish Super Cup earlier this month before ultimately losing on penalties, and another resilient performance across 90 minutes will be required if they are to have any chance of claiming a positive result on Thursday. Nevertheless, Los Blancos will be regarded as firm favourites to come away with maximum points and they should have enough quality in the final third to fire themselves to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
66.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 18.93% (0.0019999999999989 0) 14.23% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.07 0.07)39.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.073 0.07)62.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (0.01100000000001 0.01)11.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (0.021999999999991 0.02)35.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.094000000000001 0.09)40.24% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.084 0.08)76.87% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 66.83%
    Valencia 14.23%
    Draw 18.93%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 66.83%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.93%
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 14.23%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
82.6%
Draw
13.2%
Valencia
4.3%
258
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-1
Valencia
 Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties
Benzema (39' pen.)
Camavinga (28'), Nacho (109')
Lino (46')
Kluivert (31'), Comert (38'), Cavani (92'), Almeida (99')
Jan 8, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
4-1
Valencia
Benzema (43' pen., 88'), Junior (52', 61')
Casemiro (14'), Militao (26'), Mendy (75')
Guedes (76')
Piccini (51'), Musah (58'), Cheryshev (84')
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (66')
Paulista (39')
Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Benzema (12'), Kroos (42')

Guedes (27'), Racic (44'), Correia (46')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Valencia
4-1
Real Madrid
Soler (35' pen., 54' pen., 63' pen.), Varane (43' og.)
Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')
Benzema (23')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111
> European Championship 2024 overview


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