Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
20.02% ( -0.02) | 24.3% ( -0) | 55.67% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.86% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.11% ( -0.02) | 52.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.49% ( -0.02) | 74.5% ( 0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59% ( -0.03) | 41% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.44% ( -0.03) | 77.55% ( 0.02) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( -0.01) | 18.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.64% ( -0.01) | 50.36% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 6.9% 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 55.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Osasuna | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
13 | GironaGirona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
14 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |