MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 20:56:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Kubo (38'), Sorloth (48'), Zubeldia (52'), Le Normand (83'), Zubimendi (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sancet (40')
Garcia (43'), Vivian (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

The last two league meetings between these two sides at the home of Real Sociedad have finished level, and we are predicting another draw here. The hosts will enter the contest in excellent form, but Athletic are unbeaten in their last three Basque derbies in La Liga, and we can see a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
36.49% (0.058 0.06) 28.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 35.49% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.72% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.113 -0.11)58.35% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)78.96% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.61% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)66.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.113 -0.11)31.24% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (-0.133 -0.13)67.58% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 36.48%
    Athletic Bilbao 35.48%
    Draw 28.02%
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.48%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad
52.1%
Draw
30.2%
Athletic Bilbao
17.7%
96
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
Oct 31, 2021 8pm
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')
Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')
Apr 7, 2021 8pm
Apr 3, 2021 8.30pm
Dec 31, 2020 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Sociedad

Vencedor (23'), Berchiche (55'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (81'), Capa (84')
Portu (5')
Guevara (8'), Barrenetxea (21'), Merino (39'), Zubeldia (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca2293101928-930
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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