Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.