MX23RW : Friday, March 21 17:06:24| >> :120:14313:14313:
Equatorial Guinea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Eq Guinea
2 - 0
Sao Tome

Nsue (14'), Salvador (17')
Obiang (32'), Ndong (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lumungo Afonso (36')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 3-0 Eq Guinea
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Liberia
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 82.82%. A draw has a probability of 13% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe has a probability of 4.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 2-0 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (14.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (6.12%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it is 0-1 (2.29%).

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawSao Tome & Principe
82.82% (-0.185 -0.19) 13.04% (0.071 0.07) 4.14% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 28.42% (0.565 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (0.247 0.25)47.1% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (0.23 0.23)69.34% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.11% (0.012 0.01)8.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.58% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.19% (0.614 0.61)68.81% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.47% (0.2269 0.23)94.53% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 82.8%
    Sao Tome & Principe 4.14%
    Draw 13.04%
Equatorial GuineaDrawSao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 17.91% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 14.45% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 8.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.084 0.08)
5-0 @ 4.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.052 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 82.8%
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-1 @ 5.54% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 1.25% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 13.04%
0-1 @ 2.29% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.04% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 4.14%

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