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World Cup
Ethiopia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 9pm UK
Stade Larbi Zaouli
Egypt national football team

Ethiopia
vs.
Egypt

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Ethiopia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Egypt

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Botswana
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt

 Egypt head into this clash as clear favourites, having impressed in their campaign so far, while the neutral venue limits Ethiopia's home advantage. Additionally, the North Africans boast a potent attacking force, with several players in top form, which could prove too much for the opposition's defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Egypt win with a probability of 69.91%. A draw has a probability of 20.7% and a win for Ethiopia has a probability of 9.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (16.16%) and 0-3 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.43%), while for a Ethiopia win it is 1-0 (4.81%).

Result
EthiopiaDrawEgypt
9.42% (-0.6621 -0.66) 20.67% (-0.756 -0.76) 69.91% (1.42 1.42)
Both teams to score 33.66% (-0.325 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (0.991 0.99)57.99% (-0.99 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.774 0.77)78.68% (-0.77199999999999 -0.77)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.94% (-0.777 -0.78)60.06% (0.77800000000001 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.32% (-0.3999 -0.4)90.68% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.815 0.81)15.7% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (1.488 1.49)44.77% (-1.488 -1.49)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 9.42%
    Egypt 69.91%
    Draw 20.67%
EthiopiaDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-1 @ 2.27% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-0 @ 1.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 9.42%
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.318 -0.32)
2-2 @ 2.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.67%
0-1 @ 17.46% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 16.16% (0.29 0.29)
0-3 @ 9.97% (0.444 0.44)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 4.62% (0.327 0.33)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.111 0.11)
0-5 @ 1.71% (0.164 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 69.91%

Who will win Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Egypt?

Ethiopia
Draw
Egypt
Ethiopia
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Egypt
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Egypt
1-0
Ethiopia
Fathi (37')
Mohamed (55'), El Shenawy (90+2')

Panomo (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Ethiopia
2-0
Egypt
Hotessa (21'), Bekele (39')
Panomo (24'), Debebe (90+1')

Mostafa Lasheen (56'), Kamal (75'), (77')
> Preview
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