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World Cup
Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Argentina national football team

Uruguay
vs.
Argentina

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Uruguay and Argentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Uruguay
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

Argentina

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Peru
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Argentina win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Uruguay has a probability of 34.57% and a draw has a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Uruguay win is 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result
UruguayDrawArgentina
34.57%28.21%37.22%
Both teams to score 47.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.93%59.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48%79.52%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8%32.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31%68.69%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49%30.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27%66.73%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 34.57%
    Argentina 37.22%
    Draw 28.2%
UruguayDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.57%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 11.66%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 6.92%
1-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 37.22%

Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 12am
Group Stage
Argentina
0-2
Uruguay

Mac Allister (35'), Martinez (68'), Romero (77'), Palacios (90+2')
Araujo (41'), Nunez (87')
Ugarte (32'), Gimenez (67'), Olivera (79')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-1
Argentina
Di Maria (7')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
3-0
Uruguay
Messi (38'), De Paul (44'), Martinez (62')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Uruguay
> Preview
Nov 18, 2019 7.15pm
International Friendlies
Argentina
2-2
Uruguay
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
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5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


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