La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal2 - 2Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal
Sunday, November 24 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, November 24 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 1-1 Girona
Villarreal are still missing some very important players, including their leading goalscorer Perez, and they will be hosting an improving outfit this weekend. Girona have had their issues this term, but their recent league form is excellent, and we are expecting the visitors to be good enough for a point on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
45.81% ( 1.29) | 24.3% ( -0.2) | 29.89% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0.37) | 44.4% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( 0.36) | 66.77% ( -0.36) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0.7) | 19.52% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.59% ( 1.14) | 51.41% ( -1.14) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -0.54) | 27.95% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.42% ( -0.69) | 63.58% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Villarreal 45.81%
Girona 29.89%
Draw 24.29%
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.89% |
How you voted: Villarreal vs Girona
Villarreal
59.0%Draw
23.0%Girona
18.0%61
Form Guide
