League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 24

May 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Brandywell Stadium

Derry
3 - 0
Dundalk

McEneff (19'), Kavanagh (60'), Duffy (83')
Dummigan (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wasiri Williams (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Bohemians 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Dundalk

All competitions

Last Game: Dundalk 2-1 Cork City
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Dundalk
51.55% ( -0)	26.46% ( 0)	22%

Both teams to score 44.54% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35% (

-0)

58.65% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.81% (

-0)

79.2% (

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

-0)

22.89% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36% (

-0)

56.65% (

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.76% (

-0)

42.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.36% (

-0)

78.64% (

Score Analysis

Derry City 51.53%

Dundalk 22%

Draw 26.45%

Derry City	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 14.25% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.65% Total : 51.53%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.1% Total : 22%