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Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 12
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Drogheda United

Dundalk
3 - 2
Drogheda

O'Kane (23'), Hoban (28'), Martin (90+1')
Benson (83'), Tulloch (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rooney (54'), Draper (72')
Deegan (33'), Grimes (42'), Markey (85')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Drogheda United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Drogheda United

All competitions
Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 Bohemians
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawDrogheda United
52.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 25.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 22.58% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.9% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)53.27% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)74.82% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.36% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)52.77% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)38.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 52.3%
    Drogheda United 22.58%
    Draw 25.1%
DundalkDrawDrogheda United
1-0 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 52.3%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.58%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Drogheda
0-1
Dundalk

Adegboyega (49'), Markey (65')
Malley (65')
Sloggett (72'), Tulloch (81'), Leahy (86'), Wasiri Williams (86')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Dundalk
2-0
Drogheda
Hauge (40' pen.), Massey (45+1' og.)

Massey (18')
Jul 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
Drogheda
1-0
Dundalk
Williams (1')
Heeney (26'), Rooney (34'), Weir (35'), Williams (44'), Nugent (54')

Benson (43'), Kelly (45')
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 13
Dundalk
4-1
Drogheda
Leahy (40', 51'), Hoban (57' pen.), Martin (90+2')
O'Donnell (42')
Brennan (87')
Nugent (38'), Deegan (65'), Heeney (89')
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Drogheda
1-0
Dundalk
Williams (49' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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