League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk4 - 2Drogheda
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Dundalk
Thursday, July 4 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Thursday, July 4 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Dundalk 2-1 Drogheda United
Dundalk have had a very disappointing campaign, but Drogheda are really struggling, and their defensive record is a concern. We are expecting this to be a tight match, but Dundalk should have enough quality to collect all three points on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
57% ( -1.03) | 25.35% ( 0.49) | 17.65% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 41.42% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
