MX23RW : Sunday, June 30 09:41:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park

Dundalk
0 - 2
Waterford


Elliott (76'), Muller (87'), Keogh (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Parsons (19'), McMenamy (43')
Power (29'), Parsons (36'), McCormack (53'), Leahy (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Waterford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 0-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-2 Waterford United

Despite their lowly standing in the table, Dundalk are a tough nut to crack at Oriel Park and will provide Waterford with a difficult test on Friday night. However, with leading marksman Gullan unlikely to be available for the Lilywhites, we envisage a defeat for the hosts as they face the division's leading marksman in Amond. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 29.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawWaterford United
41.61% (0.122 0.12) 29.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.03% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 42.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)64.05% (0.032000000000011 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)83.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (0.057000000000002 0.06)30.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (0.066000000000003 0.07)66.6% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.107 -0.11)38.93% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.104 -0.1)75.66% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 41.6%
    Waterford United 29.03%
    Draw 29.35%
DundalkDrawWaterford United
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 41.6%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 29.03%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Waterford

Dundalk
35.7%
Draw
14.3%
Waterford United
50.0%
14
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Waterford
4-1
Dundalk
Asamoah (2', 44', 76'), Pattison (53')
Asamoah (78'), Radkowski (89')
Benson (22')
Benson (35'), Gullan (36'), Mountney (54')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Dundalk
0-0
Waterford
Durrant (85'), Elliott (86')
O'Keeffe (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Oct 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Dundalk
1-0
Waterford
Kelly (45+1')
Murray (78'), Cleary (84')

Wordsworth (87')
Sep 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Waterford
1-1
Dundalk
Wordsworth (77')
O'Keeffe (49')
Murray (5')
Cleary (48'), Hoban (49'), Boyle (74'), Han (81')
Jun 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Dundalk
1-3
Waterford
Hoban (31' pen.)
(63')
Martin (43', 75'), Griffin (62')
Griffin (21'), Evans (31'), Stephen John Bircham (90+1'), O'Keeffe (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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