Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.