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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Ipswich Town |
33.48% (![]() | 25.5% (![]() | 41.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.59% (![]() | 48.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.45% (![]() | 70.55% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.39% (![]() | 27.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.86% (![]() | 63.14% (![]() |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% (![]() | 23.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.6% (![]() | 57.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 8.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 12.07% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 79 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 62 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 60 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Reading | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 55 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 53 |
10 | Barnsley | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 35 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 48 |
12 | Stevenage | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 46 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 43 |
16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 41 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 41 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 40 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
21 | Burton Albion | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 33 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |