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Championship header 2

League One
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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Ipswich logo

Derby
0 - 2
Ipswich


Cashin (3'), McGoldrick (23'), Smith (60'), White (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chaplin (17'), Hirst (76')
Clarke (41'), Walton (51'), Burns (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Ipswich Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Derby
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 41.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.049000000000007 0.05)48.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.044 0.04)70.55% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)63.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.48%
    Ipswich Town 41.02%
    Draw 25.5%
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.02%

How you voted: Derby vs Ipswich

Derby County
0.0%
Draw
9.1%
Ipswich Town
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 8pm
Ipswich
1-0
Derby
Burns (67')
Morsy (10')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Ipswich
1-1
Derby
Nolan (55')
Bishop (57'), Chalobah (63'), Pennington (94')
Lawrence (2')
Waghorn (21'), Holmes (57'), Bennett (85'), Johnson (94')
> Match Report
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
2-0
Ipswich
Ledley (59'), Lawrence (68')
Bryson (16'), Keogh (42')

Skuse (47'), Nsiala (67')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
1-2
Derby
Garner (65')
Webster (43')
Winnall (13', 48')
Nov 28, 2017 7.45pm
Derby
0-1
Ipswich

Lawrence (33'), Russell (90'), Baird (90')
Connolly (5')
Chambers (58'), Webster (64'), Downes (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101
> League One Full Table


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