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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
59.07% ( -0.06) | 22.38% ( 0.03) | 18.55% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% ( -0.07) | 47.15% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.61% ( -0.06) | 69.39% ( 0.06) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.39% ( -0.05) | 15.61% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.4% ( -0.08) | 44.6% ( 0.08) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( -0) | 39.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% ( -0) | 76.01% |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 47 |
3 | Wrexham | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 42 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 36 |
6 | Reading | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 34 |
7 | Barnsley | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 33 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 31 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 31 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 30 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
13 | Leyton Orient | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 27 |
15 | Blackpool | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 27 |
16 | Stevenage | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 26 |
17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 17 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Burton Albion | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |